Here is my best guess for how the severe weather will shape up for tomorrow here in the Sooner state.
A slight risk for severe weather in Oklahoma includes Norman, El Reno, Ardmore. Cherokee. Expect hail, damaging winds & isolated tornadoes in the slight risk.
A moderate risk for severe weather for tomorrow in Oklahoma: Ada, Shawnee, Oklahoma City, Atoka & Enid. Tornado, some strong, with large hail and damaging winds possible in the moderate risk zone.
The very rare high risk area for severe weather in Oklahoma for Thursday: Ponca City, Stillwater, Tulsa, McAlester, Sallisaw, Miami, Bartlesville, near Fort Smith (AR) & Muskogee. Within the high risk, long-track, violent tornadoes with damaging winds and large hail bigger than baseball-size.
Storms will have explosive development tomorrow. What does that mean exactly? Within 30-45 minutes if storm development, they will be supercellular in nature, meaning destructive hail, strong winds and tornadoes will likely.
The dryline is getting pulled back further west. Instead of the dryline being along the I-35 corridor, it will go about 50-65 miles west of 35. The severe risk in Oklahoma goes east of a Buffalo to Woodward to Weatherford to Duncan to Walters line.
This is an uncharacteristically strong upper level storm for this time of year. Please keep tuned to your favorite media outlet or Twitter weather account for the latest. I urge you to follow this with a high degree of alertness.